INTERNATIONAL COAL NEWS

BHP cost cuts in focus

ANALYSTS will be looking for clarity from BHP Billiton on cost-cutting, the Jansen potash project...

Kristie Batten

This article is 12 years old. Images might not display.

Both JP Morgan and Macquarie Private Wealth have flagged FY13 underlying earnings of $US12.7 billion ($A13.8 billion), 1% above Bloomberg consensus of $12.6 billion.

Today's figures mark the first under new CEO Andrew Mackenzie, who has promised make productivity a main focus.

Analysts are expecting cost-cutting to be a key feature of the numbers.

“In contrast to Rio’s limited clarity on the big issues last week, BHP is promising increased disclosure (particularly on cost-cutting), leaving the stage set for management to capture the market’s attention if it is able to offer a clearer picture of current operations and the outlook,” Macquarie said.

Macquarie believes that cost-cutting will fall from the annualised $1.5 billion delivered in the first half of FY13, while JP Morgan expects similar savings in the second half.

The Jansen project, called the company’s possible “fifth pillar” by CEO Andrew Mackenzie, is sure to be a focus given Russian potash giant Uralkali’s recent withdrawal from the Belarusian Potash Corp cartel.

“We suspect management will try to avoid being dragged into a detailed discussion on Jansen as this is clearly a difficult project to sell to investors in the current environment,” Macquarie said.

“However, with BHP always looking to break the cartels, management’s longer term potash outlook presumably remains largely unchanged.

“As a result we expect sufficient near term spending merely to preserve rather than progress the Jansen option.”

JP’s base case is that BHP doesn’t proceed with the project due to insufficient returns.

“We believe any announcement to this effect would be taken well by the market (would highlight strong capital discipline),” JP said.

Meanwhile, analysts are also looking for clarity around the petroleum division, particularly the US onshore business after spending $4.8 billion in FY13.

“Clarity around spending levels here will both drive the production outlook (where notably guidance has not yet been given) but will also point to management’s confidence surrounding its Permian acreage where the lack of commentary having drilled around 100 wells is disconcerting,” Macquarie said.

JP pointed to the disappointing production result in FY13 and flagged FY14 guidance be 10% over FY13 levels at around 259 million barrels of oil equivalent.

JP analysts also flagged the risk of impairment charges relating to the US onshore assets.

Macquarie maintained an outperform rating and $A40 price target, while JP maintained a neutral rating and $42 target.

BHP shares last traded 8c lower at $36.79.

TOPICS:

Expert-led Insights reports built on robust data, rigorous analysis and expert commentary covering mining Exploration, Future Fleets, Automation and Digitalisation, and ESG.

Expert-led Insights reports built on robust data, rigorous analysis and expert commentary covering mining Exploration, Future Fleets, Automation and Digitalisation, and ESG.

editions

ESG Index 2025: Benchmarking the Future of Sustainable Mining

The ESG Index provides an in-depth evaluation of the ESG performance of 60+ of the world’s largest mining companies. It assesses companies across 10 weighted indicators within 6 essential ESG pillars.

editions

Automation and Digitalisation Insights 2025

Discover how mining companies and investors are adopting, deploying and evaluating new technologies.

editions

Mining IQ Exploration Insights 2025

Gain exclusive insights into the world of exploration in a comprehensive review of the top trending technologies, intercepts, discoveries and more.

editions

Future Fleets Insights 2025

Mining IQ Future Fleets Insights 2025 looks at how companies are using alternative energy sources to cut greenhouse gas emmissions