MARKETS

Colombian economic growth won't meet goal: Cardenas

COLOMBIA'S top financial official says the country's economic growth for 2013, which it already w...

Donna Schmidt
Colombian economic growth won't meet goal: Cardenas

Finance Minister Mauricio Cardenas told conference media that the nation would expand less than its 4.5% target for whole-year 2013 – but hopefully the final number would not miss the mark by very much.

“I believe that surely GDP will end the year above 4%, we hope very close to 4.5%,” he said.

“For now we, the government, maintain a target of 4.5%.

The Andean nation’s government is being significantly more optimistic than market analysts, which are eyeing a likely end result of about 3.8%.

In June Cardenas said Colombia was scaling back on its 4.8% growth goal for 2013, setting a target of 4.5% after weak performances in the industrial sector paired with labour strikes and transport issues across the coal community – the nation’s top export product.

According to Reuters, Colombia's central bank has maintained a projection of about 4% for some time and said economic expansion for July to September would likely be between 3.8% and 5.4% year on year.

The country’s first-quarter growth was just 2.7% but the second quarter offset the disappointment with an improvement of 4.2% versus last year.

Earlier this week, the National Administrative Department of Statistics of Colombia ( DANE) confirmed that coal exports in the South American nation slipped by nearly a quarter during the month of October, potentially the result of the labour and transport issues that have plagued the country nearly all year.

DANE said October exports were 6.35 million tonnes, a drop of nearly 25% year on year.

The total also came in 22.7% lower than September – the year’s high – of 8.22Mt.

Year-to-date through the end of October, Colombian exports fell about 7% year on year to about 61Mt.

Last month, Mines and Energy Minister Amylkar Acosta announced 2013 coal production would miss the 94Mt goal it had set.

It projected approximately 85Mt, a drop from the 89Mt it produced last year.

Colombian coal shipments account for 12% of the country's total exports, according to national data.

In addition to being South America’s largest coal producer, the country is also the fourth-largest coal exporter in the world.

TOPICS:

A growing series of reports, each focused on a key discussion point for the mining sector, brought to you by the Mining Monthly Intelligence team.

A growing series of reports, each focused on a key discussion point for the mining sector, brought to you by the Mining Monthly Intelligence team.

editions

ESG Mining Company Index: Benchmarking the Future of Sustainable Mining

The ESG Mining Company Index report provides an in-depth evaluation of ESG performance of 61 of the world's largest mining companies. Using a robust framework, it assesses each company across 9 meticulously weighted indicators within 6 essential pillars.

editions

Mining Magazine Intelligence Exploration Report 2024 (feat. Opaxe data)

A comprehensive review of exploration trends and technologies, highlighting the best intercepts and discoveries and the latest initial resource estimates.

editions

Mining Magazine Intelligence Future Fleets Report 2024

The report paints a picture of the equipment landscape and includes detailed profiles of mines that are employing these fleets

editions

Mining Magazine Intelligence Digitalisation Report 2023

An in-depth review of operations that use digitalisation technology to drive improvements across all areas of mining production