MARKETS

Coking coal falls outpace analysts

ANZ's commodities research team has slashed its coal price forecasts up to 2017 but its coking co...

Blair Price
Coking coal falls outpace analysts

Citing the malaise in coal markets and the large drop-off in Chinese import demand, ANZ cut its coking coal forecasts by 8.5% to $US104 a tonne in 2015, by 15.5% to $102/t in 2016 and by 12.5% to $111/t in 2017.

However, the Platts premium Australia HCC spot price had already fallen to just $85/t more than a week ago.

Solid Energy, which recently made 113 redundancies at its flagship Stockton coking coal mine in New Zealand, said on Thursday that HCC spot prices had fallen to $83/t.

ANZ also cut its thermal coal forecasts by 6% in 2015 to $61/t, by 9% to $64/t in 2016 and by 11% to $67/t in 2017.

The 2015 forecast is not too far off Newcastle spot thermal coal prices of $61.8/t clocked up last week.

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