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NMA predicts record year for US coal

EXPANDING industrial economies and China's voracious appetite for coal and minerals will continue to spur strong demand for US-mined coal and minerals this year, according to the National Mining Association’s (NMA) 2005 economic forecast.

Angie Tomlinson
NMA predicts record year for US coal

NMA predicted record-breaking US coal production this year, forecasting output of 1.138 billion tons, exceeding the 1.111 billion tons mined in 2004 and topping the previous record of 1.127 billion tons set in 2001.

Eastern coal mines are expected to produce 486 million tons, driven largely by increased offshore demand for metallurgical coal used in steelmaking and by increased domestic demand for electricity generation.

Western coal production is expected to reach the 640 million ton level this year, topping the previous record of 625 million tons in 2004.

In 2004, coal generated 51.8% of US electricity available on the national grid and is likely to generate 52.4% this year.

NMA said persistent high natural gas prices and capacity limitations at nuclear plants will favor greater coal utilization to fuel the expected 2.2% increase in electricity demand in 2005.

“Electricity accounts for over 90% of all domestically-produced coal. Consequently, US coal demand in 2005 is expected to total 1.183 billion tons and exceed production for the third consecutive year,” NMA said.

Strong offshore demand and a relatively weak dollar will boost US coal exports for the second year in a row, said NMA.

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